Hurricane Edouard

Forecast Advisory 15



401
WTNT21 KNHC 150254
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
0300 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 53.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 53.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 52.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.2N 54.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.6N 56.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.2N 57.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.4N 56.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 37.4N 51.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 190SE 130SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 41.2N 42.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.2N 36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 53.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN