Hurricane Edouard

Forecast Advisory 19



422
WTNT21 KNHC 160237
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 56.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 56.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 56.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N 57.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.8N 56.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N 54.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 170SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.1N 50.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.9N 41.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 160SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N 36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 38.6N 32.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 56.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN