Hurricane Edouard

Forecast Advisory 22

---

960
WTNT21 KNHC 162048
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
2100 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 57.5W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 130SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 290SE 230SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 57.5W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 57.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.3N 56.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 45SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 140SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 37.2N 52.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.7N 47.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.9N 42.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 40.2N 37.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 180SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 39.4N 34.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 36.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 57.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE