Hurricane Edouard

Forecast Advisory 29

---

445
WTNT21 KNHC 181433
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 42.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 80SE 70SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 90SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 200SE 180SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 300SE 340SW 430NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 42.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 43.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.1N 39.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N 37.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N 36.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N 34.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 33.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N 42.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN