Hurricane Fay

Forecast Advisory 3



242
WTNT22 KNHC 102330
TCMAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
2330 UTC FRI OCT 10 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 64.2W AT 10/2330Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 64.2W AT 10/2330Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 64.0W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.0N 64.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 30SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N 65.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.7N 63.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.7N 60.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 64.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN