Hurricane Fay

Forecast Advisory 7



722
WTNT22 KNHC 112030
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
2100 UTC SAT OCT 11 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 65.4W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 140SE 70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 65.4W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 65.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.7N 64.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.7N 61.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.8N 56.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 65.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




722
WTNT22 KNHC 112030
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
2100 UTC SAT OCT 11 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 65.4W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 140SE 70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 65.4W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 65.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.7N 64.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.7N 61.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.8N 56.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 65.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




722
WTNT22 KNHC 112030
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
2100 UTC SAT OCT 11 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 65.4W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 140SE 70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 65.4W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 65.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.7N 64.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.7N 61.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.8N 56.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 65.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART