Hurricane Gonzalo
Forecast Advisory 19
948
WTNT23 KNHC 170231
TCMAT3
HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0300 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 67.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 67.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 67.8W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 66.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.5N 64.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.4N 62.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 42.0N 57.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 160SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 150SW 80NW.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 240SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 56.5N 12.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 67.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
948
WTNT23 KNHC 170231
TCMAT3
HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0300 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 67.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 67.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 67.8W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 66.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.5N 64.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.4N 62.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 42.0N 57.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 160SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 150SW 80NW.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 240SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 56.5N 12.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 67.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
