Hurricane Gonzalo
Forecast Advisory 20
598
WTNT23 KNHC 170831
TCMAT3
HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0900 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18
HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 66.8W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 66.8W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 67.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.3N 65.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.5N 63.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 38.9N 60.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 44.5N 54.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 160SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 54.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 56.6N 6.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 66.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN
598
WTNT23 KNHC 170831
TCMAT3
HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0900 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18
HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 66.8W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 66.8W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 67.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.3N 65.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.5N 63.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 38.9N 60.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 44.5N 54.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 160SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 54.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 56.6N 6.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 66.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN
598
WTNT23 KNHC 170831
TCMAT3
HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0900 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18
HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 66.8W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 66.8W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 67.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.3N 65.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.5N 63.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 38.9N 60.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 44.5N 54.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 160SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 54.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 56.6N 6.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 66.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN
