Hurricane Gonzalo

Forecast Advisory 21



476
WTNT23 KNHC 171454
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
1500 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION THIS MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 66.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 235SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 66.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 66.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.6N 64.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.3N 62.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 41.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 48.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 55.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 66.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




476
WTNT23 KNHC 171454
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
1500 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION THIS MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 66.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 235SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 66.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 66.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.6N 64.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.3N 62.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 41.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 48.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 55.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 66.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA