Hurricane Gonzalo

Forecast Advisory 23



325
WTNT23 KNHC 180253
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0300 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESUME ON BERMUDA SHORTLY...
AND CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL
FOLLOW FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS AFTERWARDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 64.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..260NE 320SE 220SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 64.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 64.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 35.9N 62.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 41.2N 57.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 47.0N 49.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 160SE 90SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 270SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 140SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 270SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N 11.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 400SW 480NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 64.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




325
WTNT23 KNHC 180253
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0300 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESUME ON BERMUDA SHORTLY...
AND CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL
FOLLOW FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS AFTERWARDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 64.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..260NE 320SE 220SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 64.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 64.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 35.9N 62.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 41.2N 57.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 47.0N 49.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 160SE 90SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 270SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 140SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 270SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N 11.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 400SW 480NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 64.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART