Hurricane Gonzalo

Forecast Advisory 26



365
WTNT23 KNHC 182041
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
2100 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 60.0W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 31 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..340NE 320SE 260SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 60.0W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 61.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 44.0N 54.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT...110NE 150SE 100SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 210SE 170SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 49.6N 45.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 170SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 270SE 200SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 52.5N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 150SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 320SE 320SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 55.5N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 180SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 360SE 430SW 480NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 60.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




365
WTNT23 KNHC 182041
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
2100 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 60.0W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 31 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..340NE 320SE 260SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 60.0W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 61.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 44.0N 54.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT...110NE 150SE 100SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 210SE 170SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 49.6N 45.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 170SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 270SE 200SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 52.5N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 150SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 320SE 320SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 55.5N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 180SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 360SE 430SW 480NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 60.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART