Hurricane Kate

Forecast Advisory 2

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853
WTNT22 KNHC 090838
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015
0900 UTC MON NOV 09 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ACKLINS...SAMANA CAYS...CROOKED ISLAND...AND LONG CAY IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 74.6W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 74.6W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 73.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.7N 75.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 33.4N 71.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...ABSORBED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 74.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN