Hurricane Kate

Forecast Advisory 11



046
WTNT22 KNHC 111434
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015
1500 UTC WED NOV 11 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 60.5W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 39 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE 180SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 180SE 240SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 60.5W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 62.5W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 39.0N 55.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 41.1N 50.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 90SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 41.8N 47.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 420SE 240SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 42.4N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
34 KT...480NE 480SE 360SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 48.5N 29.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...420NE 480SE 300SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 56.1N 16.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 60.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI