Tropical Storm Colin

Forecast Advisory 2



577
WTNT23 KNHC 052053
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016
2100 UTC SUN JUN 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND
NORTHEAST FLORIDA FROM ALTAHAMA SOUND...GEORGIA TO FLAGLER
BEACH...FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INDIAN PASS TO ENGLEWOOD

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALTAHAMA SOUND TO FLAGLER BEACH

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48
HOURS.

WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST LATER TONIGHT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 87.9W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 87.9W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 88.1W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 25.1N 87.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 28.0N 85.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 160SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.0N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 160SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 34.0N 76.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 160SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 41.9N 58.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 240SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 48.0N 44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 53.5N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 87.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN