Tropical Storm Ian

Forecast Advisory 2

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771
WTNT25 KNHC 122040
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
2100 UTC MON SEP 12 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 50.7W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 50.7W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 50.5W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.3N 51.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.2N 52.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 40SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 40SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 30.7N 54.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 35.7N 52.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 30SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 45.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 54.5N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 50.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH