Tropical Storm Julia

Forecast Advisory 10



330
WTNT22 KNHC 160832
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 33.4W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 30SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 33.4W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 32.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.7N 35.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.7N 38.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.3N 40.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.7N 43.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.6N 48.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 40SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 19.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 21.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 33.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




811
WTNT25 KNHC 160835
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.2N 40.8W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 42 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 300SE 360SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.2N 40.8W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.2N 42.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 50.1N 34.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 120SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 57.2N 25.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 300SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 300SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 61.8N 18.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.2N 40.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




702
WTNT21 KNHC 160838
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 76.4W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 76.4W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 76.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.8N 76.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.9N 76.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.0N 76.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.2N 76.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.0N 76.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 32.5N 75.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 76.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN