Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 3

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388
WTNT21 KNHC 150233
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0300 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 79.8W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 79.8W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 80.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.2N 79.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.2N 78.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.1N 78.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.0N 78.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 32.0N 79.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N 79.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





367
WTNT25 KNHC 150245
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
0300 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 53.4W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 140SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 150SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 53.4W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 53.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.3N 51.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 40.3N 47.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 45.8N 39.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 51.7N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 160SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...320NE 360SE 360SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 53.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





610
WTNT22 KNHC 150256
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0300 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 27.5W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 27.5W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 26.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N 29.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.0N 31.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 34.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.9N 36.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N 40.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 17.4N 44.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.9N 49.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 27.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART