Tropical Storm Karl
Forecast Advisory 4
271
WTNT22 KNHC 150831
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0900 UTC THU SEP 15 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 29.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 29.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 28.7W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.8N 31.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 33.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.9N 36.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.6N 39.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.7N 43.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N 53.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 29.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
930
WTNT25 KNHC 150833
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
0900 UTC THU SEP 15 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 52.4W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 52.4W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 53.0W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.3N 49.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 43.0N 43.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 120SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 49.1N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 150SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 180SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z...ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.5N 52.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
395
WTNT21 KNHC 150837
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0900 UTC THU SEP 15 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 79.6W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 79.6W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 79.9W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.0N 79.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.0N 78.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 32.0N 78.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.9N 79.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.9N 79.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 32.0N 79.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 79.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
