Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 21

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512
WTNT22 KNHC 191447
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 48.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..290NE 30SE 30SW 290NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 48.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 47.7W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.9N 50.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.5N 52.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 40SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.4N 55.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.6N 57.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 0SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.5N 62.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 27.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 48.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG