Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 26

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816
WTNT22 KNHC 202040
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 55.2W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 55.2W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 54.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.8N 57.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...140NE 50SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 59.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 50SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.1N 61.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.6N 63.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 32.5N 61.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 38.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 55.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KREKELER/BERG





804
WTNT23 KNHC 202041
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
2100 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 31.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 31.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 30.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.2N 32.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.1N 33.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.0N 36.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.7N 39.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 25.2N 42.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 29.2N 44.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 31.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART