Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 29

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218
WTNT23 KNHC 211431
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
1500 UTC WED SEP 21 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 32.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 45SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 32.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 32.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.6N 33.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.7N 34.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.9N 36.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.3N 38.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.0N 41.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 28.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 34.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 32.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





196
WTNT22 KNHC 211442
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC WED SEP 21 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KARL.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 57.8W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 57.8W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 57.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.1N 59.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.7N 63.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 40SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.2N 64.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N 62.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 36.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 44.0N 38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 57.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/GALLINA/VEENHUIS