Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 34

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304
WTNT23 KNHC 222033
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
2100 UTC THU SEP 22 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 34.5W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 34.5W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 34.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.8N 35.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.2N 37.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 20SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.4N 38.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 25.6N 40.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 29.5N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 34.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 42.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 34.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





771
WTNT22 KNHC 222049
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC THU SEP 22 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 63.2W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 63.2W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 62.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.8N 64.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.8N 65.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.8N 64.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.7N 61.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 39.7N 47.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 180SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 49.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 63.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CAMPBELL/RUBIN-OSTER/BERG