Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 35

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666
WTNT23 KNHC 230236
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
0300 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 35.2W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......170NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 35.2W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 34.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.4N 36.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.6N 37.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 24.7N 39.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.2N 40.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.5N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 35.5N 37.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 35.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/ZELINSKY





519
WTNT22 KNHC 230249
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0300 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 64.0W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 30SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 64.0W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 63.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.4N 65.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.5N 64.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.4N 62.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 35.2N 57.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 180SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 43.5N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 180SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 53.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN