Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 36



743
WTNT22 KNHC 230849
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 64.8W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 64.8W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 64.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 31.5N 64.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 37.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 60SW 20NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 180SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 48.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 220SE 210SW 0NW.
34 KT...280NE 480SE 600SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 64.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




118
WTNT23 KNHC 230854
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 35.7W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 35.7W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 35.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.7N 36.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.6N 38.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.6N 40.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 26.1N 41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.5N 42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 35.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE