Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 37

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532
WTNT23 KNHC 231431
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
1500 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 36.3W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 36.3W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 36.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.1N 37.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 24.2N 39.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 25.4N 41.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 27.4N 42.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 31.5N 40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 36.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





634
WTNT22 KNHC 231444
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 64.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 64.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 64.8W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.2N 64.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.3N 62.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 34.9N 57.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 25SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 38.9N 49.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 30NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 210SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 50.7N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 150SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 240SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 64.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/SULLIVAN/GERHARDT/SCHICHTEL