Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 38

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001
WTNT23 KNHC 232031
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
2100 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 36.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 45SE 45SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 36.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 36.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.4N 38.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.4N 40.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 26.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 27.9N 42.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 36.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





032
WTNT22 KNHC 232048
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 65.1W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 65.1W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 65.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 31.3N 64.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.7N 60.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 37.1N 54.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 40NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 42.0N 44.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 120SE 90SW 40NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 65.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER SULLIVAN/BERG