Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 40



984
WTNT22 KNHC 240851
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0900 UTC SAT SEP 24 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE DURING
THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 64.3W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 64.3W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 64.6W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.5N 61.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 36.7N 54.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 41.6N 45.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 40NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 47.6N 36.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 360SE 270SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z...ABSORBED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 64.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




194
WTNT23 KNHC 240857
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
0900 UTC SAT SEP 24 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 37.9W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 37.9W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 37.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.6N 39.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 26.0N 41.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 28.0N 42.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 37.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE