Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 36

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339
WTNT25 KNHC 130259
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0300 UTC THU OCT 13 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 66.4W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 55SE 25SW 55NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 210SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 66.4W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 66.5W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.6N 65.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 55SE 25SW 55NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.8N 62.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 55SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 130SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.7N 59.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 37.3N 55.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.5N 50.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 180SW 200NW.
34 KT...330NE 240SE 300SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 38.5N 50.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 40.0N 49.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 66.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN