Hurricane Otto
Forecast Advisory 7
412
WTNT21 KNHC 221440
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
1500 UTC TUE NOV 22 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA HAVE ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FROM THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER TO SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS
NICARAGUA.
THE WEATHER SERVICE OF PANAMA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR PANAMA FROM NARGANA TO COLON AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
WEST OF COLON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER TO SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NARGANA TO COLON
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES
* WEST OF COLON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE DURING
THE DAY TODAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND PROVIDENCIA
ISLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OTTO.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 79.2W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 79.2W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 79.2W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 10.4N 79.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 10.6N 80.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 10.8N 81.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 10.8N 82.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 10.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 10.0N 90.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 9.5N 94.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N 79.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
