Hurricane Otto
Forecast Advisory 10
779
WTNT21 KNHC 230832
TCMAT1
HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
0900 UTC WED NOV 23 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE PACIFIC COAST FROM PUERTO SANDINO TO SANTA ELENA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF COSTA RICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE PACIFIC COAST FROM SANTA ELENA TO PUNTARENAS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON COSTA RICA TO BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* SOUTH OF LIMON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* NARGANA PANAMA TO COLON
* SAN ANDRES
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF COLON PANAMA TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER
* PUNTARENAS COSTA RICA TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...USUALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND PROVIDENCIA
ISLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OTTO.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 80.4W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 80.4W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 80.2W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 11.1N 81.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.2N 82.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.3N 83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.0N 86.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 10.0N 91.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 9.5N 96.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 10.0N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 80.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
