Hurricane Gert

Forecast Advisory 9



382
WTNT23 KNHC 150235
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017
0300 UTC TUE AUG 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 72.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 72.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 72.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.3N 72.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 34.3N 70.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 36.6N 66.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.3N 60.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 46.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 180SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 52.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 72.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE