Hurricane Irma
Forecast Advisory 12
439
WTNT21 KNHC 020848
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0900 UTC SAT SEP 02 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 41.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 100SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 41.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 41.1W
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.8N 43.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 46.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.7N 48.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.1N 50.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.0N 54.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 18.4N 59.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 21.0N 64.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 41.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
