Hurricane Irma
Forecast Advisory 27
498
WTNT22 KNHC 052031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS
OF JOSE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 40.6W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 40.6W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 40.0W
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N 42.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.6N 45.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.3N 48.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 14.9N 51.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.5N 56.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 50SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 18.7N 59.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 22.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 40.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
236
WTNT23 KNHC 052034
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 96.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 96.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 96.8W
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.4N 96.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.2N 95.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.8N 95.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.4N 95.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.9N 95.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 19.7N 97.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 96.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
300
WTNT21 KNHC 052051
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE
BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER
WITH HAITI.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... ANGUILLA... MONTSERRAT... ST. KITTS... AND
NEVIS
* SABA... ST. EUSTATIUS... AND SINT MAARTEN
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO... VIEQUES... AND CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
HAITI
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI... AS
WELL AS CUBA... THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... AND FLORIDA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 59.8W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 926 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 195 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 240SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 59.8W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 59.2W
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.6N 61.8W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.5N 64.6W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.5N 67.3W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.4N 70.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.6N 75.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 22.7N 79.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 24.4N 81.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 59.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
