Hurricane Irma

Forecast Advisory 36



934
WTNT22 KNHC 080248
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... AND ANGUILLA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... AND ANGUILLA
* SINT MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... AND ANGUILLA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 53.9W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 90SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 53.9W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 53.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.1N 56.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.8N 58.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.8N 60.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.2N 62.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.6N 66.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 25.8N 68.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 27.1N 67.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 53.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




067
WTNT23 KNHC 080251
TCMAT3

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LAGUNA VERDE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO RIO PANUCO
* SOUTH OF LAGUNA VERDE TO PUERTO VERACRUZ.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 95.1W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 5NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 95.1W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 95.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.3N 95.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.8N 96.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.9N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.3N 98.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 95.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




132
WTNT23 KNHC 080254
TCMAT3

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LAGUNA VERDE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO RIO PANUCO
* SOUTH OF LAGUNA VERDE TO PUERTO VERACRUZ.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 95.1W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 5NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 95.1W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 95.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.3N 95.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.8N 96.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.9N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.3N 98.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 95.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




328
WTNT21 KNHC 080257
TCMAT1

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD
AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH... AS WELL AS FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS.

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD
AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH... AS WELL AS FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS... LAKE OKEECHOBEE... AND FLORIDA BAY.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO VENICE.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET
* NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO VENICE

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI
SPIRITUS... AND
VILLA CLARA
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET
* NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS AND
MATANZAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... AND LAS TUNAS

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 72.4W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 920 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 65NE 45SE 35SW 55NW.
50 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 240SE 90SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 72.4W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 71.8W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.8N 74.4W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 65NE 50SE 35SW 55NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.3N 76.7W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 65NE 50SE 35SW 55NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.9N 78.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 65NE 55SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.7N 79.9W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.2N 81.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 32.0N 83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 35.5N 86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 72.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG