Hurricane Irma
Forecast Advisory 47
274
WTNT21 KNHC 102053
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET
* NORTH MIAMI BEACH SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE
OCHLOCKONEE RIVER
* FLORIDA KEYS
* TAMPA BAY
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FERNANDINA BEACH SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO INDIAN
PASS
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO EDISTO BEACH
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 81.8W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT.......190NE 170SE 140SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 180SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 81.8W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 81.7W
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.0N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.7N 83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 160SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 33.1N 86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 34.5N 88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 36.5N 89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 39.0N 86.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 81.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
383
WTNT22 KNHC 102056
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 66.9W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 317 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 66.9W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 66.4W
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.4N 68.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 50SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.0N 69.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.8N 69.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.7N 68.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.4N 67.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 110SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 24.2N 68.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 25.1N 71.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 66.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
