Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 24



203
WTNT22 KNHC 110844
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 68.6W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 68.6W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 68.4W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.8N 69.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.8N 69.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N 67.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 26.3N 66.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 24.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 10NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 25.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 26.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 68.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD




880
WTNT21 KNHC 110855
TCMAT1

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF ANCLOTE RIVER TO BONITA BEACH...
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
INLET...AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA
KEYS...FLORIDA BAY...THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF JUPITER
INLET...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

THE STORM SURGE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH MIAMI BEACH SOUTHWARD AROUND THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA TO CAPE SABLE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET
* CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER
* TAMPA BAY

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SEBASTIAN INLET TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO EDISTO BEACH

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
* SOUTH OF ANCLOTE RIVER TO BONITA BEACH
* SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 82.6W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE 90SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 230SE 150SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..470NE 270SE 480SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 82.6W AT 11/0900Z...INLAND
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 82.2W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.8N 83.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT...220NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 33.0N 85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 34.5N 87.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.5N 89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 82.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN