Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 29

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517
WTNT22 KNHC 121446
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 68.3W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 68.3W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 68.5W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.2N 67.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.4N 66.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.7N 65.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 25.3N 66.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 28.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 30.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 68.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH