Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 31



456
WTNT22 KNHC 130242
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 66.4W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 66.4W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 66.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.9N 65.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.3N 65.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 25.2N 66.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.6N 67.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 27.3N 70.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 30.0N 70.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 32.5N 68.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 66.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG