Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 38



109
WTNT22 KNHC 142032
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 67.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 67.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 66.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 25.6N 68.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 26.5N 70.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.5N 71.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.6N 72.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.7N 72.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 33.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 36.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 67.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE