Hurricane Jose
Forecast Advisory 45
859
WTNT22 KNHC 161441
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 72.2W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 50SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 72.2W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 72.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.5N 72.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.8N 72.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.4N 72.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 37.2N 71.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...210NE 190SE 150SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 41.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 72.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
860
WTNT24 KNHC 161441
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 33.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 33.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 32.8W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.4N 34.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.5N 35.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.9N 36.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.6N 38.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.6N 42.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.0N 49.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 33.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
035
WTNT25 KNHC 161448
TCMAT5
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. LUCIA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
DOMINICA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
* GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 50.5W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 19 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 50.5W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 49.7W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.8N 52.8W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.6N 55.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.3N 56.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 58.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.3N 61.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.6N 64.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.7N 67.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 50.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
