Hurricane Jose
Forecast Advisory 53
199
WTNT24 KNHC 181440
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 40.6W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 40.6W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 40.2W
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.8N 41.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.0N 43.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.4N 44.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.9N 45.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 40.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
230
WTNT22 KNHC 181446
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WATCH HILL... RHODE
ISLAND... TO HULL... MASSACHUSETTS... INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND...
MARTHA'S VINEYARD... AND NANTUCKET.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL TO HULL
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FENWICK ISLAND TO SANDY HOOK
* DELAWARE BAY SOUTH
* EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO WATCH HILL
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 71.1W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......190NE 200SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 300SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 71.1W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 71.2W
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.1N 71.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.7N 71.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.2N 70.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.4N 70.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N 67.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.1N 68.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 38.5N 68.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 71.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
297
WTNT25 KNHC 181456
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ANGUILLA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT
* MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ANGUILLA
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* ANGUILLA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. HURRICANE
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE NEARBY
ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 60.1W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 60.1W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 59.7W
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.1N 61.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.9N 62.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.8N 64.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.6N 65.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.5N 68.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 21.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 24.0N 72.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 60.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
