Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 69



911
WTNT25 KNHC 221435
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MARIA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 71.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 120SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 71.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 70.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 45SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.5N 72.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.9N 72.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.0N 71.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 32.0N 71.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 34.0N 71.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 71.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




609
WTNT22 KNHC 221439
TCMAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 69
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH... INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 69.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 240SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 69.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 69.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 39.4N 69.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 39.3N 69.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 38.9N 68.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 38.8N 68.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 38.5N 69.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 69.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE