Hurricane Lee

Forecast Advisory 45

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792
WTNT25 KNHC 290845
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC FRI SEP 29 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 63.3W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 90SE 100SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 210SE 220SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 300SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 63.3W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 64.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.9N 59.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 220SE 230SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 39.8N 52.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 120SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 230SE 240SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 42.1N 45.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 110SE 90SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 220SE 200SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 45.0N 36.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 110SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 51.4N 16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 210SE 180SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...ABSORBED WITHIN A FRONTAL ZONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 63.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





232
WTNT24 KNHC 290849
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0900 UTC FRI SEP 29 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 52.4W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 30SE 35SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE 110SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 52.4W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 53.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.1N 48.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 70SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 120SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 45.4N 39.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 140SE 150SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 52.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG