Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 2

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464
WTNT22 KNHC 091438
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
1500 UTC MON OCT 09 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 39.9W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 39.9W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 40.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 31.7N 39.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 31.6N 38.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.3N 38.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 30.7N 37.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.8N 36.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 30.5N 34.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 32.0N 31.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 39.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART