Hurricane Humberto

Forecast Advisory 7



322
WTNT24 KNHC 140841
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
0900 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 76.0W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 76.0W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 75.7W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 26.9N 76.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 28.0N 77.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 29.0N 77.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.8N 77.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.8N 74.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 31.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 33.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 76.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN