Hurricane Humberto

Forecast Advisory 15

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567
WTNT24 KNHC 160846
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN AND AROUND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HUMBERTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 77.3W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 77.3W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 77.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.0N 76.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.3N 75.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.6N 73.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 33.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 37.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 40.0N 58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 77.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN