Hurricane Humberto

Forecast Advisory 17

---

329
WTNT24 KNHC 162046
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
2100 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 75.9W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 75.9W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 76.2W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.4N 74.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.8N 73.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.2N 71.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 32.0N 68.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 36.0N 61.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 40.1N 59.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 41.7N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 75.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 17/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART