Tropical Storm Imelda
Forecast Advisory 2
862
WTNT21 KNHC 172031
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112019
2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SARGENT TO PORT BOLIVAR
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 95.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 95.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 95.3W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.1N 95.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.8N 95.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 31.4N 95.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 32.1N 95.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 95.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
998
WTNT25 KNHC 172033
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 45.6W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 45.6W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 45.2W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.1N 46.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 48.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.9N 51.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.9N 54.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.9N 60.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 20.9N 66.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 23.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 45.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
829
WTNT24 KNHC 172041
TCMAT4
HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH AND
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR BERMUDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 72.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 72.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 72.9W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 32.6N 67.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 34.6N 63.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.4N 61.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 41.5N 57.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 210NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 43.5N 48.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 46.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 72.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 18/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
