Hurricane Jerry
Forecast Advisory 24
065
WTNT22 KNHC 230833
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
0900 UTC MON SEP 23 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...
VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KAREN.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 63.9W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 63.9W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 63.7W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.5N 64.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.1N 65.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N 65.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.1N 65.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.6N 64.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 26.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 27.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 63.9W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 23/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
779
WTNT25 KNHC 230835
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
0900 UTC MON SEP 23 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 67.7W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 150SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 67.7W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 67.6W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.6N 68.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.1N 68.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.3N 68.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.6N 66.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 37.0N 54.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 37.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 67.7W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 23/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
121
WTNT23 KNHC 230837
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
0900 UTC MON SEP 23 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 22.2W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 22.2W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 21.5W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 11.0N 24.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.5N 26.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 12.1N 29.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 12.8N 32.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.0N 37.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 70SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 16.3N 42.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.6N 45.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 22.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
