Tropical Storm Karen
Forecast Advisory 15
210
WTNT22 KNHC 252035
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
2100 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 64.3W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 75SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 64.3W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 64.5W
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.6N 63.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.6N 61.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.9N 60.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 26.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 26.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 64.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
556
WTNT25 KNHC 252037
TCMAT5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
2100 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 65.6W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 65.6W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 66.1W
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 32.8N 63.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 33.7N 61.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.7N 59.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.0N 56.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 65.6W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
976
WTNT23 KNHC 252039
TCMAT3
HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
2100 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 36.9W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 10SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE 30SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 36.9W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 36.3W
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.0N 38.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 60SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.1N 40.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 90SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.7N 41.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.5N 43.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 23.0N 44.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 26.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 31.0N 40.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 36.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
